By Joe Zidle

Clarity in a market of noise.

Institutional-grade investment strategy and asset allocation research, delivered daily.

Latest Research

FREE February 28, 2026

The Sahm Indicator — A First Principles Explainer

Layoffs in the tech sector are piling up at the same time hiring stalled. Soon the Unemployment Rate will back up. The question is: how many job losses can the US Economy withstand. What follows is a first principals explainer of the Sahm Indicator....